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Can AI forestall the consequences of a pandemic?

Credit score: Umea College

The coronavirus pandemic is the largest disaster in a technology. Determination-makers have struggled to stability the state of well being with the wants of society and the economic system by means of the unfold of the virus. Utilizing AI in simulation strategies has given a greater, and extra correct end result than typical strategies. A e book concerning the analysis behind the profitable methodology is now being launched.

Frank Dignum’s analysis on the simulation of the COVID-19 pandemic has attracted quite a lot of consideration. Now he’s releasing a e book—”Social Simulation in a Disaster,” which reveals how the AI-based mannequin simulates the unfold of the virus primarily based on completely different eventualities. The mannequin has confirmed to be extraordinarily efficient and the end result has crushed typical strategies, in each means.

“I am so completely satisfied that our analysis has given such nice outcomes, the aim has all the time been to discover a means for the general public and corporations to successfully make the suitable choices,” says Frank Dignum, AI researcher and writer of the e book.

With the intention to assist

Simulating a disaster, or on this case a pandemic, requires extra than simply making a simulation of the state of affairs. To ensure that a simulation to be helpful decision-makers want a end result inside just a few days, so as to have the ability to take the proper measures as rapidly as doable. The aim of the brand new simulation mannequin is to not produce extra forecasts and figures, however moderately to indicate completely different doable eventualities that may then type the premise for authorities’ choices.

“It is usually of nice significance to stability various factors mutually, relying on facets of the state of affairs,” Frank Dignum continues.

The e book, “Social Simulation in a Disaster,” describes the creation of the simulation framework tailored for COVID-19, referred to as ASSOCC. The e book additionally highlights the usefulness of the mannequin and explains the choices that should be made alongside the best way, in addition to the trade-offs.

“There is no such thing as a common resolution for a way we should always deal with, for instance, a pandemic. Every measure should be analyzed and checked in opposition to how the pandemic develops in a rustic, its infrastructure and its tradition. However with this mannequin, it considerably eases the method,” says Professor Frank Dignum.

The subsequent step is to develop large-scale simulation fashions. This requires researchers to re-implement the fashions, making them much more environment friendly. Frank Dignum factors out that it’s also necessary to develop programs and expertise that shield human integrity.

“Epidemiological fashions can’t combine human habits, the affect we have now on one another and the way it adjustments habits over time. This will solely be studied efficiently in a social simulation surroundings.”


New instrument exploring completely different paths the corona pandemic could take


Extra info:
Learn extra and purchase the e book right here: www.springer.com/gp/e book/9783030763961

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Umea College


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Can AI forestall the consequences of a pandemic? (2021, June 22)
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