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How can scientists predict a COVID-19 outbreak? There’s an app for that

COVID Management App Map monitoring user-reported COVID-19 signs inside Baltimore census tracks. Credit score: Robert Stevens

A cellular app that makes use of crowd-sourced information on COVID-19 signs can precisely determine the place native coronavirus outbreaks will seem, based on Johns Hopkins Drugs scientists who developed the app.

The Johns Hopkins workforce launched the “COVID Management” app in Could 2020 and have been learning how user-reported COVID-19 signs can predict potential outbreaks of the virus, enabling public well being leaders to enact measures to include the virus’ unfold. Outcomes of the researchers’ findings had been printed February 25, in Nature Scientific Experiences.

“It is a actually promising instance of how we are able to use public participation and the ubiquity of expertise like cell telephones to trace illness,” says Robert Stevens, M.D., director of anesthesiology and demanding care precision drugs on the Johns Hopkins College Faculty of Drugs. “It is not restricted to infectious ailments. This may very well be used to trace the epidemiology of numerous prevalent well being situations, resembling coronary heart illness, most cancers and diabetes.”

Accessible by way of Google Play and Apple’s App Retailer, COVID Management permits customers to anonymously report signs related to COVID-19, resembling fever, lack of style/scent, nausea and different signs to create a publicly viewable map displaying clusters of individuals experiencing these signs. Since its launch, greater than 19,000 customers in 1,019 counties in each state throughout the U.S. have logged greater than 174,000 information entries.

The research targeted on Baltimore Metropolis and Baltimore County and confirmed that 9 clusters of signs logged by COVID Management customers correlated with places of elevated coronavirus prevalence reported by the Baltimore Metropolis Division of Well being. New lack of style or scent confirmed the strongest correlation between symptom reporting and confirmed COVID-19 instances, predicting the spike in instances a median of 5 days earlier than the town’s Division of Well being confirmed a coronavirus outbreak.


New AI diagnostic can predict COVID-19 with out testing


Extra info:
Amparo Güemes et al. A syndromic surveillance software to detect anomalous clusters of COVID-19 signs in america, Scientific Experiences (2021). DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-84145-5

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Johns Hopkins College


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How can scientists predict a COVID-19 outbreak? There’s an app for that (2021, Could 6)
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